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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
ResultThunderball
Jackpot£500,000
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 760 of 3,063 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 759 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 12, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 May 2014 — its closest relative in 759 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 December 2014): 32 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 76 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,630 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 91,575 | £3.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 73,579 | £5.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 18,041 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 | 23,483 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,630 | £20.00 |
| Match 4 | 657 | £100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 46 | £250 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £5,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £500,000 |