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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 23 March 2013

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 33
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 487 of 3,063 under them

← 2013-03-22All recent draws2013-03-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 13 18 28 33 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

765times
1357times
1869times
2876times
33

Prize breakdown · 2013-03-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.0Mto 232k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball25%£500.0K
  • Match 316%£320.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%£407.2K
  • 6 other tiers38%£745.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

340times

Every number was expected about that many times after 486 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 28, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 September 2012 — its closest relative in 486 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 March 2013): 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 512≈ 4.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball77≈ 56 by chance£250
  • Match 41,121≈ 733 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,463≈ 1.9k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,802≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 332,037≈ 24k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,438≈ 77k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball92,264≈ 92k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,121 winners, 53% more than the 733 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball92,264£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,438£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,802£10.00
    Match 332,037£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,463£20.00
    Match 41,121£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball77£250
    Match 512£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000