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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 23 November 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-11-21 All recent draws 2012-11-24 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 2 4 6 18 19 + 12 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-11-23 Lines in play ≈ 996k as the winner counts imply Paid out £556.8K to 88k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.12 Where the money went
Match 3 24% £134.0K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 28% £153.6K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 19% £103.1K 5 other tiers 30% £166.1K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.12 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
58times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 434 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 1.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 28≈ 21 by chance £250
Match 4 462≈ 273 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 851≈ 693 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 8,592≈ 7.4k by chance £10.00
Match 3 13,400≈ 9.0k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 30,716≈ 29k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 34,374≈ 34k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈996k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,400 winners, 49% more than the 9.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.