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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 14 November 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-11-10 All recent draws 2012-11-16 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 3 20 23 26 30 + 8 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-11-14 Lines in play ≈ 2.2M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.6M to 188k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.28 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 31% £500.0K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 21% £342.5K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 14% £231.8K 6 other tiers 33% £532.6K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.28 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
64times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 430 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 4≈ 3.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 66≈ 47 by chance £250
Match 4 651≈ 614 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,995≈ 1.6k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 19,312≈ 17k by chance £10.00
Match 3 19,795≈ 20k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 68,503≈ 64k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 77,272≈ 77k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,995 winners, 28% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.