LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 20 October 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 18
  3. 21
  4. 27
  5. 34
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 421 of 3,062 under them

← 2012-10-19All recent draws2012-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 18 21 27 34 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

348times
1857times
2163times
2752times
34

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.2Mto 292k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball23%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%£529.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball17%£365.9K
  • 6 other tiers37%£803.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

537times

Every number was expected about that many times after 420 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 21, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 February 2011 — its closest relative in 420 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 5.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball108≈ 75 by chance£250
  • Match 4988≈ 969 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,884≈ 2.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball29,152≈ 26k by chance£10.00
  • Match 330,861≈ 32k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball105,866≈ 102k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball121,964≈ 122k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 2,884 winners, 17% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball121,964£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball105,866£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball29,152£10.00
    Match 330,861£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,884£20.00
    Match 4988£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball108£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000