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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 1 August 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-07-28 All recent draws 2012-08-03 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 6 9 18 22 26 + 14 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-08-01 Lines in play ≈ 1.6M as the winner counts imply Paid out £899.7K to 139k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.20 Where the money went
Match 3 25% £223.2K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 26% £234.0K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 18% £163.8K 5 other tiers 31% £278.7K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.20 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
50times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 385 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 6≈ 2.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 41≈ 33 by chance £250
Match 4 818≈ 434 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,340≈ 1.1k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 12,985≈ 12k by chance £10.00
Match 3 22,323≈ 14k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 46,793≈ 45k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 54,593≈ 55k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,323 winners, 56% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.