LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 19 May 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 22
  4. 31
  5. 36
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 355 of 3,062 under them

← 2012-05-18All recent draws2012-05-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 22 31 36 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

450times
1240times
2238times
3153times
36

Prize breakdown · 2012-05-19

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 215k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£278.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£378.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£266.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%£367.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 354 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 December 2011 — its closest relative in 354 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 May 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 4.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball67≈ 54 by chance£250
  • Match 4846≈ 705 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,949≈ 1.8k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,216≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 327,835≈ 23k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball75,665≈ 74k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball88,817≈ 89k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 846 winners, 20% more than the 705 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball88,817£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball75,665£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,216£10.00
    Match 327,835£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,949£20.00
    Match 4846£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball67£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000