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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 16 May 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 36
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 353 of 3,062 under them

← 2012-05-12All recent draws2012-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 28 29 36 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

946times
1547times
2855times
2945times
36

Prize breakdown · 2012-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 180k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball34%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%£328.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball17%£245.6K
  • 6 other tiers26%£385.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

41times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

531times

Every number was expected about that many times after 352 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 15, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 March 2012 — its closest relative in 352 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 May 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 50 by chance£250
  • Match 4391≈ 650 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,277≈ 1.7k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,569≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,765≈ 21k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,634≈ 68k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball81,858≈ 82k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 391 winners, 40% fewer than the 650 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball81,858£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,634£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,569£10.00
    Match 314,765£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,277£20.00
    Match 4391£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000