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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 21 April 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-04-20 All recent draws 2012-04-25 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 6 8 13 18 21 + 5 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-04-21 Lines in play ≈ 3.4M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.7M to 290k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.43 Where the money went
Match 3 19% £336.7K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 30% £518.0K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 21% £356.8K 5 other tiers 30% £517.2K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.43 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
52times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 342 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 5≈ 5.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 101≈ 73 by chance £250
Match 4 1,122≈ 945 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 3,021≈ 2.4k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 29,437≈ 26k by chance £10.00
Match 3 33,667≈ 31k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 103,607≈ 99k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 118,934≈ 119k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 3,021 winners, 26% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.