LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 18 February 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 23
  5. 33
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 316 of 3,062 under them

← 2012-02-17All recent draws2012-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 20 23 33 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

333times
1540times
2045times
2347times
33

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-18

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.7Mto 288k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£311.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£513.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£368.6K
  • 5 other tiers30%£500.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

830times

Every number was expected about that many times after 315 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 20, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 December 2011 — its closest relative in 315 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2012): 3, 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 58≈ 5.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball96≈ 75 by chance£250
  • Match 41,087≈ 976 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,723≈ 2.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball27,373≈ 26k by chance£10.00
  • Match 331,112≈ 32k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball102,695≈ 102k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball122,871≈ 123k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,087 winners, 11% more than the 976 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball122,871£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball102,695£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball27,373£10.00
    Match 331,112£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,723£20.00
    Match 41,087£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball96£250
    Match 58£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000