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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 15 February 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-02-11 All recent draws 2012-02-17 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 1 11 18 19 39 + 7 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-02-15 Lines in play ≈ 2.6M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.1M to 209k winning lines Won something 1 in 13 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.32 Where the money went
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 18% £198.6K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 36% £404.1K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 24% £271.1K 5 other tiers 23% £257.6K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.32 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
35times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 313 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 4.2 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 47≈ 55 by chance £250
Match 4 444≈ 718 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,628≈ 1.8k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 19,863≈ 19k by chance £10.00
Match 3 15,893≈ 24k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 80,829≈ 75k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 90,362≈ 90k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 444 winners, 38% fewer than the 718 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.