LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 21 January 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 31
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 304 of 3,063 under them

← 2012-01-20All recent draws2012-01-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 31 34 36 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each

530times
746times
3146times
3433times
36

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 284k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.47

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16%£243.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35%£520.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%£392.9K
  • 5 other tiers22%£325.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.47 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

31times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

828times

Every number was expected about that many times after 303 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 7, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 December 2011 — its closest relative in 303 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 6.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43≈ 80 by chance£250
  • Match 4554≈ 1.0k by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,852≈ 2.6k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,324≈ 28k by chance£10.00
  • Match 321,677≈ 34k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball104,129≈ 109k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball130,954≈ 131k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 554 winners, 47% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball130,954£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball104,129£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,324£10.00
    Match 321,677£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,852£20.00
    Match 4554£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000