In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 792 draws, 1 from 1–10.
75times drawn · chance expected 79 −0.50σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 90% for any number
9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
35longest completed wait · 88% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 75 times in 792 draws against 79.2 expected, −0.50σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 75 times in 792 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.
Set for Life number 1 (star deck) — how often, how long a wait, and with whom — LotteryOracle