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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 October 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 27
  3. 28
  4. 31
  5. 51
  6. 57
  7. 48

Jackpot£3,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 837 of 1,189 under them

← 2023-10-11All recent draws2023-10-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 27 28 31 51 57 + 4829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

486times
2794times
2879times
3187times
51

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-14

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£5.2Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 49.4%£491.5K
  • Match 353%£2.7M
  • Match 236%£1.9M
  • 1 other tier1.6%£84K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

85times
5786times

Every number was expected about that many times after 836 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 28, 31, 51) with the draw of 30 January 2021 — its closest relative in 836 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 70% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,800,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.4 by chanceno winners
  • Match 548≈ 73 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,511≈ 4.8k by chance£140
  • Match 391,471≈ 109k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2948,456≈ 1.0M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,511 winners, 27% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2948,456£2.00
    Match 391,471£30.00
    Match 43,511£140
    Match 548£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£3,800,000