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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 October 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 23
  6. 25
  7. 58

Jackpot£2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 836 of 1,189 under them

← 2023-10-07All recent draws2023-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 15 18 23 25 + 5829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

19oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd77th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

385times
894times
1579times
1877times
23

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£10.2Mto 904k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 620%£2M
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball20%£2M
  • Match 333%£3.4M
  • 3 other tiers28%£2.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

83times
2576times

Every number was expected about that many times after 835 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 18, 23) with the draw of 8 July 2023 — its closest relative in 835 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£2,000,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.2 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5145≈ 60 by chance£1,750
  • Match 47,329≈ 4.0k by chance£140
  • Match 3112,939≈ 90k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2783,473≈ 847k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 7,329 winners, 84% more than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2783,473£2.00
    Match 3112,939£30.00
    Match 47,329£140
    Match 5145£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 61£2,000,000