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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 September 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 14
  4. 20
  5. 24
  6. 40
  7. 52

Jackpot£3,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 833 of 1,189 under them

← 2023-09-27All recent draws2023-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 14 20 24 40 + 5229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd5th
  • low94th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread31th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

177times
892times
1485times
2091times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£13.8Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • Match 628%£3.8M
  • Match 332%£4.4M
  • Match 217%£2.3M
  • 3 other tiers24%£3.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

79times
4081times

Every number was expected about that many times after 832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 20, 24) with the draw of 1 July 2023 — its closest relative in 832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2023): 8, 20 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 53% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,800,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.7 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5136≈ 89 by chance£1,750
  • Match 47,553≈ 5.9k by chance£140
  • Match 3146,318≈ 134k by chance£30.00
  • Match 21,157,449≈ 1.3M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 7,553 winners, 28% more than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 21,157,449£2.00
    Match 3146,318£30.00
    Match 47,553£140
    Match 5136£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 61£3,800,000