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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 27 September 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 31
  6. 44
  7. 28

Jackpot£5,238,028

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 832 of 1,189 under them

← 2023-09-23All recent draws2023-09-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 11 20 31 44 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

891times
1084times
1188times
2090times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-27

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£14Mto 906k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 637%£5.2M
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball21%£3M
  • Match 323%£3.2M
  • 3 other tiers19%£2.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

86times
4478times

Every number was expected about that many times after 831 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 11, 44) with the draw of 9 April 2022 — its closest relative in 831 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,238,028
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 1.2 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5136≈ 61 by chance£1,750
  • Match 45,754≈ 4.0k by chance£140
  • Match 3105,753≈ 92k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2794,007≈ 859k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 5,754 winners, 42% more than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2794,007£2.00
    Match 3105,753£30.00
    Match 45,754£140
    Match 5136£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3£1,000,000
    Match 61£5,238,028