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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 October 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 45
  7. 18

Jackpot£26,364,533

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 312 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-09-29All recent draws2018-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 11 25 27 45 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd99th
  • low94th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

331times
527times
1136times
2534times
27

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 17Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£31.2Mto 179k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 96lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball85%£26.4M
  • Match 41.5%£477.4K
  • Match 314%£4.2M
  • 1 other tier0.2%£73.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.38 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
4529times

Every number was expected about that many times after 311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 5, 11) with the draw of 21 June 2017 — its closest relative in 311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£26,364,533
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 2.3 by chance£8,811,619
  • Match 5195≈ 119 by chance£379
  • Match 49,946≈ 7.9k by chance£48.00
  • Match 3168,591≈ 179k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.7M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.7M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3168,591£25.00
    Match 49,946£48.00
    Match 5195£379
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3£8,811,619
    Match 60£26,364,533