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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 29 September 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 36
  3. 40
  4. 44
  5. 54
  6. 58
  7. 27

Jackpot£24,284,997

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 311 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-09-26All recent draws2018-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 36 40 44 54 58 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

1728times
3633times
4031times
4426times
54

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 10.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£3.2Mto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 52.8%£89.6K
  • Match 418%£575.4K
  • Match 377%£2.4M
  • 1 other tier2.7%£85.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
5842times

Every number was expected about that many times after 310 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (36, 54, 58) with the draw of 18 November 2017 — its closest relative in 310 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

249

The numbers add up to 249 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 88% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£24,284,997
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.3 by chance£42,582
  • Match 552≈ 69 by chance£1,723
  • Match 43,862≈ 4.6k by chance£149
  • Match 397,713≈ 104k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 971k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 971k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 397,713£25.00
    Match 43,862£149
    Match 552£1,723
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£42,582
    Match 60£24,284,997