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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 October 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 32
  5. 54
  6. 59
  7. 12

Jackpot£26,196,380

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 108 of 1,185 under them

← 2016-10-15All recent draws2016-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 4 32 54 59 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

215times
39times
410times
327times
54

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£28.9Mto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 691%£26.2M
  • Match 41.6%£459.0K
  • Match 37.2%£2.1M
  • 2 other tiers0.5%£139.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
5913times

Every number was expected about that many times after 107 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 32, 54) with the draw of 10 October 2015 — its closest relative in 107 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

59 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 72% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£26,196,380
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.1 by chance£67,814
  • Match 545≈ 59 by chance£1,586
  • Match 43,144≈ 3.9k by chance£146
  • Match 383,384≈ 88k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 829k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 829k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 383,384£25.00
    Match 43,144£146
    Match 545£1,586
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£67,814
    Match 61£26,196,380