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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 16
  3. 25
  4. 42
  5. 46
  6. 51
  7. 53

Jackpot£24,226,822

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 107 of 1,187 under them

← 2016-10-12All recent draws2016-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 16 25 42 46 51 + 5329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

1417times
167times
2511times
4210times
46

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£3.9Mto 129k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • Match 52.5%£100.2K
  • Match 416%£643.9K
  • Match 379%£3.1M
  • 1 other tier2.4%£95.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
5112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 106 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 42, 51) with the draw of 16 April 2016 — its closest relative in 106 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

194

The numbers add up to 194 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 79% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£24,226,822
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 1.7 by chance£31,748
  • Match 559≈ 88 by chance£1,699
  • Match 44,666≈ 5.8k by chance£138
  • Match 3124,297≈ 132k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.2M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3124,297£25.00
    Match 44,666£138
    Match 559£1,699
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3£31,748
    Match 60£24,226,822