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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 5 October 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 25
  4. 37
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 39

Jackpot£16,333,383

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 104 of 1,189 under them

← 2016-10-01All recent draws2016-10-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 25 37 43 44 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

1110times
166times
2510times
3715times
43

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.9Mto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 51.9%£56.2K
  • Match 412%£359.6K
  • Match 384%£2.5M
  • 1 other tier1.8%£53.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
448times

Every number was expected about that many times after 103 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 43, 44) with the draw of 24 September 2016 — its closest relative in 103 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 October 2016): 43 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

176

The numbers add up to 176 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£16,333,383
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.3 by chance£26,704
  • Match 569≈ 70 by chance£814
  • Match 44,732≈ 4.6k by chance£76.00
  • Match 399,105≈ 105k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 985k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 985k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 399,105£25.00
    Match 44,732£76.00
    Match 569£814
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£26,704
    Match 60£16,333,383