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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 October 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 43
  6. 58
  7. 55

Jackpot£14,494,590

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 103 of 1,187 under them

← 2016-09-28All recent draws2016-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 18 28 43 58 + 5529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

49times
56times
188times
2810times
43

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.5Mto 153k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • Match 52.1%£93.4K
  • Match 413%£597.2K
  • Match 383%£3.7M
  • 1 other tier2.0%£88.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
5810times

Every number was expected about that many times after 102 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (28, 43, 58) with the draw of 8 June 2016 — its closest relative in 102 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 68% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£14,494,590
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 2.0 by chance£29,599
  • Match 571≈ 104 by chance£1,316
  • Match 45,742≈ 6.9k by chance£104
  • Match 3147,532≈ 156k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.5M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.5M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3147,532£25.00
    Match 45,742£104
    Match 571£1,316
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3£29,599
    Match 60£14,494,590