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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 2 March 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244027
  1. 13
  2. 17
  3. 20
  4. 26
  5. 27
  6. 4

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,411 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-02-28All recent draws2024-03-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official13 17 20 26 27 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed13 17 20 26 27 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 246 of each

13278times
17243times
20238times
26256times
27

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.0Mto 961k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • rang612%€471.0K
  • rang836%€1.5M
  • rang926%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

249times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

4242times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,410 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 17, 26, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 January 2016 — its closest relative in 2,410 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 February 2024): 27 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang24≈ 3.0 by chance€62,518
  • rang3115≈ 74 by chance€531
  • rang4899≈ 670 by chance€245
  • rang53,826≈ 3.2k by chance€34.30
  • rang633,407≈ 29k by chance€14.10
  • rang744,621≈ 45k by chance€8.20
  • rang8403,259≈ 403k by chance€3.60
  • rang9474,543€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 899 winners, 34% more than the 670 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang24€62,518
    rang3115€531
    rang4899€245
    rang53,826€34.30
    rang633,407€14.10
    rang744,621€8.20
    rang8403,259€3.60
    rang9474,543€2.20