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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 28 February 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244026
  1. 2
  2. 27
  3. 38
  4. 43
  5. 46
  6. 3

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,410 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-02-26All recent draws2024-03-02 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 27 38 43 46 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 27 38 43 46 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 246 of each

2236times
27248times
38262times
43243times
46

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 585k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang611%€318.0K
  • rang835%€965.0K
  • rang929%€803.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%€692.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

246times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

3234times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,409 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 38, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2021 — its closest relative in 2,409 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.4 by chance€168,368
  • rang331≈ 34 by chance€1,326
  • rang4282≈ 308 by chance€526
  • rang51,334≈ 1.5k by chance€66.30
  • rang611,734≈ 13k by chance€27.10
  • rang721,085≈ 21k by chance€11.70
  • rang8185,582≈ 186k by chance€5.20
  • rang9365,106€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 11,734 winners, 11% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€168,368
    rang331€1,326
    rang4282€526
    rang51,334€66.30
    rang611,734€27.10
    rang721,085€11.70
    rang8185,582€5.20
    rang9365,106€2.20