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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 6 January 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244003
  1. 19
  2. 22
  3. 40
  4. 45
  5. 49
  6. 2

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,387 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-01-03All recent draws2024-01-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official19 22 40 45 49 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed19 22 40 45 49 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

19220times
22273times
40248times
45236times
49

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-06

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.8Mto 955k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • rang612%€595.0K
  • rang837%€1.8M
  • rang924%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

245times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

2223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,386 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 22, 40, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,386 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 January 2024): 45 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.8 by chance€314,535
  • rang352≈ 68 by chance€1,476
  • rang4514≈ 610 by chance€539
  • rang52,300≈ 2.9k by chance€71.90
  • rang624,286≈ 26k by chance€24.50
  • rang735,653≈ 41k by chance€12.90
  • rang8367,509≈ 368k by chance€4.90
  • rang9525,015€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,300 winners, 21% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€16,000,000
    rang21€314,535
    rang352€1,476
    rang4514€539
    rang52,300€71.90
    rang624,286€24.50
    rang735,653€12.90
    rang8367,509€4.90
    rang9525,015€2.20