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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 3 January 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244002
  1. 1
  2. 9
  3. 14
  4. 36
  5. 45
  6. 3

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,386 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-01-01All recent draws2024-01-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 9 14 36 45 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 9 14 36 45 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

1255times
9248times
14231times
36239times
45

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.6Mto 803k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€413.5K
  • rang835%€1.3M
  • rang928%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers25%€900.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

235times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

3230times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,385 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 9, 14, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 February 2015 — its closest relative in 2,385 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang24≈ 2.2 by chance€54,668
  • rang358≈ 53 by chance€920
  • rang4489≈ 474 by chance€394
  • rang52,341≈ 2.3k by chance€49.10
  • rang619,507≈ 20k by chance€21.20
  • rang733,094≈ 32k by chance€9.70
  • rang8285,364≈ 285k by chance€4.40
  • rang9462,123€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 33,094 winners, 4% more than the 32k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang24€54,668
    rang358€920
    rang4489€394
    rang52,341€49.10
    rang619,507€21.20
    rang733,094€9.70
    rang8285,364€4.40
    rang9462,123€2.20