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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 20 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233152
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 10

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,380 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-12-18All recent draws2023-12-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 3 29 30 31 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 29 30 31 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

2232times
3250times
29251times
30234times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 545k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang613%€344.9K
  • rang838%€1.0M
  • rang922%€606.5K
  • 5 other tiers27%€751.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

252times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

10244times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,379 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 3, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2023 — its closest relative in 2,379 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 December 2023): 3, 30 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 29–30, 30–31. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€182,460
  • rang323≈ 43 by chance€1,936
  • rang4300≈ 385 by chance€535
  • rang51,383≈ 1.8k by chance€69.40
  • rang614,675≈ 17k by chance€23.50
  • rang720,896≈ 26k by chance€12.80
  • rang8231,615≈ 232k by chance€4.50
  • rang9275,680€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,383 winners, 25% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€182,460
    rang323€1,936
    rang4300€535
    rang51,383€69.40
    rang614,675€23.50
    rang720,896€12.80
    rang8231,615€4.50
    rang9275,680€2.20