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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 25 November 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233141
  1. 1
  2. 9
  3. 11
  4. 13
  5. 19
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 45% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,369 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-11-22All recent draws2023-11-27 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 9 11 13 19 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 9 11 13 19 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd99th
  • low99th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

1251times
9245times
11234times
13272times
19

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-25

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.8Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • rang157%€5.0M
  • rang816%€1.4M
  • rang912%€1.0M
  • 6 other tiers16%€1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

216times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

8211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,368 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 11, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 May 2021 — its closest relative in 2,368 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

53

The numbers add up to 53 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang215≈ 3.5 by chance€15,937
  • rang3149≈ 85 by chance€392
  • rang41,660≈ 763 by chance€127
  • rang54,746≈ 3.6k by chance€26.40
  • rang647,032≈ 33k by chance€9.60
  • rang749,269≈ 51k by chance€7.10
  • rang8459,086≈ 459k by chance€3.00
  • rang9468,503€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,660 winners, 118% more than the 763 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€5,000,000
    rang215€15,937
    rang3149€392
    rang41,660€127
    rang54,746€26.40
    rang647,032€9.60
    rang749,269€7.10
    rang8459,086€3.00
    rang9468,503€2.20