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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 22 November 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233140
  1. 4
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 41
  5. 45
  6. 2

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,368 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-11-20All recent draws2023-11-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 17 18 41 45 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 17 18 41 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

4242times
17242times
18225times
41279times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 531k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang612%€340.8K
  • rang838%€1.0M
  • rang923%€624.5K
  • 4 other tiers27%€741.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

2221times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,367 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 18, 41, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 January 2023 — its closest relative in 2,367 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2023): 41 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€180,114
  • rang326≈ 39 by chance€8,618
  • rang4244≈ 354 by chance€650
  • rang51,209≈ 1.7k by chance€78.30
  • rang613,311≈ 15k by chance€25.60
  • rang719,443≈ 24k by chance€13.60
  • rang8213,271≈ 213k by chance€4.90
  • rang9283,874€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,209 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang20€180,114
    rang326€8,618
    rang4244€650
    rang51,209€78.30
    rang613,311€25.60
    rang719,443€13.60
    rang8213,271€4.90
    rang9283,874€2.20