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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 November 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233138
  1. 12
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 29
  5. 48
  6. 3

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,366 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-11-15All recent draws2023-11-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 20 21 29 48 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 20 21 29 48 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

12234times
20235times
21228times
29249times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-18

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.8Mto 882k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang611%€433.2K
  • rang835%€1.3M
  • rang928%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers25%€948.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

3229times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,365 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 29, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 May 2023 — its closest relative in 2,365 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€114,985
  • rang349≈ 61 by chance€1,146
  • rang4483≈ 552 by chance€419
  • rang52,898≈ 2.6k by chance€41.70
  • rang623,933≈ 24k by chance€18.10
  • rang739,838≈ 37k by chance€8.50
  • rang8332,434≈ 332k by chance€4.00
  • rang9482,638€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 483 winners, 13% fewer than the 552 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang22€114,985
    rang349€1,146
    rang4483€419
    rang52,898€41.70
    rang623,933€18.10
    rang739,838€8.50
    rang8332,434€4.00
    rang9482,638€2.20