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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 15 November 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233137
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 16
  4. 22
  5. 30
  6. 1

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 60% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,365 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-11-13All recent draws2023-11-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 7 16 22 30 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 16 22 30 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

2231times
7248times
16249times
22271times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€18.3Mto 691k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang182%€15.0M
  • rang87.0%€1.3M
  • rang93.7%€670.8K
  • 6 other tiers7.3%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

1247times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,364 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 22, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 November 2019 — its closest relative in 2,364 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

77

The numbers add up to 77 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€110,725
  • rang363≈ 61 by chance€858
  • rang4779≈ 546 by chance€250
  • rang52,066≈ 2.6k by chance€56.30
  • rang627,549≈ 23k by chance€15.20
  • rang726,537≈ 37k by chance€12.20
  • rang8328,883≈ 329k by chance€3.90
  • rang9304,898€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 779 winners, 43% more than the 546 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€15,000,000
    rang22€110,725
    rang363€858
    rang4779€250
    rang52,066€56.30
    rang627,549€15.20
    rang726,537€12.20
    rang8328,883€3.90
    rang9304,898€2.20