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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 23 September 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233114
  1. 6
  2. 26
  3. 28
  4. 37
  5. 40
  6. 8

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,342 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-09-20All recent draws2023-09-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 26 28 37 40 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 26 28 37 40 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

6238times
26248times
28237times
37240times
40

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.0Mto 869k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€469.1K
  • rang835%€1.4M
  • rang928%€1.1M
  • 4 other tiers25%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

241times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 234 of each

8209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,341 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 28, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,341 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 September 2023): 37 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.3 by chance€248,219
  • rang343≈ 56 by chance€7,181
  • rang4419≈ 501 by chance€522
  • rang52,250≈ 2.4k by chance€58.00
  • rang619,466≈ 22k by chance€24.10
  • rang734,716≈ 34k by chance€10.50
  • rang8301,791≈ 302k by chance€4.70
  • rang9509,957€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 419 winners, 16% fewer than the 501 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang20€248,219
    rang343€7,181
    rang4419€522
    rang52,250€58.00
    rang619,466€24.10
    rang734,716€10.50
    rang8301,791€4.70
    rang9509,957€2.20