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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 26 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233089
  1. 11
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 49
  6. 7

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,317 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-24All recent draws2023-07-29 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 17 18 28 49 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 17 18 28 49 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

11229times
17236times
18221times
28234times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 849k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • rang610%€308.1K
  • rang831%€929.3K
  • rang937%€1.1M
  • 4 other tiers22%€670.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

238times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

7254times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,316 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 28, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 June 2023 — its closest relative in 2,316 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 July 2023): 17 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.1 by chance€163,372
  • rang365≈ 50 by chance€3,127
  • rang4474≈ 454 by chance€303
  • rang53,481≈ 2.2k by chance€24.60
  • rang620,407≈ 20k by chance€15.10
  • rang745,678≈ 30k by chance€5.20
  • rang8273,312≈ 273k by chance€3.40
  • rang9505,589€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,481 winners, 60% more than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang20€163,372
    rang365€3,127
    rang4474€303
    rang53,481€24.60
    rang620,407€15.10
    rang745,678€5.20
    rang8273,312€3.40
    rang9505,589€2.20