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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 24 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233088
  1. 1
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 7

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,316 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-22All recent draws2023-07-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 12 17 31 45 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 12 17 31 45 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

1242times
12230times
17235times
31244times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-24

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 717k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang610%€263.4K
  • rang831%€796.3K
  • rang937%€965.9K
  • 5 other tiers22%€575.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

7253times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,315 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 12, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,315 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2023): 31 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€139,829
  • rang376≈ 41 by chance€449
  • rang4406≈ 367 by chance€303
  • rang52,751≈ 1.8k by chance€26.70
  • rang616,361≈ 16k by chance€16.10
  • rang737,248≈ 25k by chance€5.50
  • rang8221,190≈ 221k by chance€3.60
  • rang9439,050€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,751 winners, 57% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang21€139,829
    rang376€449
    rang4406€303
    rang52,751€26.70
    rang616,361€16.10
    rang737,248€5.50
    rang8221,190€3.60
    rang9439,050€2.20