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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 19 June 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #2023073
  1. 29
  2. 38
  3. 39
  4. 42
  5. 49
  6. 3

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,301 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-06-17All recent draws2023-06-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official29 38 39 42 49 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed29 38 39 42 49 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd65th
  • low1th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

29245times
38257times
39208times
42216times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-19

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 449k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • rang148%€2.0M
  • rang818%€769.5K
  • rang915%€624.9K
  • 6 other tiers19%€802.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

236times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

3225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,300 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (29, 39, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,300 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 June 2023): 29, 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

197

The numbers add up to 197 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.0 by chance€133,418
  • rang331≈ 25 by chance€1,050
  • rang4237≈ 228 by chance€496
  • rang51,090≈ 1.1k by chance€64.30
  • rang69,943≈ 9.8k by chance€25.40
  • rang715,944≈ 15k by chance€12.30
  • rang8137,418≈ 137k by chance€5.60
  • rang9284,055€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 15,944 winners, 4% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang21€133,418
    rang331€1,050
    rang4237€496
    rang51,090€64.30
    rang69,943€25.40
    rang715,944€12.30
    rang8137,418€5.60
    rang9284,055€2.20