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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 17 June 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #2023072
  1. 28
  2. 29
  3. 38
  4. 43
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,300 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-06-14All recent draws2023-06-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official28 29 38 43 44 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed28 29 38 43 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

17oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd32th
  • low1th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

28233times
29244times
38256times
43238times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.8Mto 808k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang144%€3.0M
  • rang819%€1.3M
  • rang916%€1.1M
  • 6 other tiers20%€1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

243times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

3224times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,299 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 29, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 October 2022 — its closest relative in 2,299 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29, 43–44. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.0 by chance€230,309
  • rang339≈ 49 by chance€1,441
  • rang4298≈ 439 by chance€680
  • rang51,723≈ 2.1k by chance€70.30
  • rang615,695≈ 19k by chance€27.70
  • rang731,210≈ 29k by chance€10.80
  • rang8264,075≈ 264k by chance€5.00
  • rang9495,142€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,723 winners, 18% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€3,000,000
    rang21€230,309
    rang339€1,441
    rang4298€680
    rang51,723€70.30
    rang615,695€27.70
    rang731,210€10.80
    rang8264,075€5.00
    rang9495,142€2.20