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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 22 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #2023061
  1. 22
  2. 33
  3. 37
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 4

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,289 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-05-20All recent draws2023-05-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official22 33 37 42 43 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed22 33 37 42 43 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

22262times
33238times
37234times
42215times
43

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 464k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang612%€268.1K
  • rang836%€813.5K
  • rang927%€613.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€584.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

236times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

4228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,288 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (33, 37, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 October 2022 — its closest relative in 2,288 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 May 2023): 37 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

177

The numbers add up to 177 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.2 by chance€141,991
  • rang326≈ 29 by chance€1,333
  • rang4207≈ 260 by chance€604
  • rang51,208≈ 1.2k by chance€61.80
  • rang610,856≈ 11k by chance€24.70
  • rang717,030≈ 17k by chance€12.20
  • rang8156,445≈ 156k by chance€5.20
  • rang9278,683€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 10,856 winners, 3% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€141,991
    rang326€1,333
    rang4207€604
    rang51,208€61.80
    rang610,856€24.70
    rang717,030€12.20
    rang8156,445€5.20
    rang9278,683€2.20