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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 20 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #2023060
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 37
  6. 6

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,288 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-05-17All recent draws2023-05-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 8 18 25 37 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 18 25 37 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

3236times
8210times
18218times
25214times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-20

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.7Mto 830k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€449.2K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang925%€940.6K
  • 5 other tiers26%€978.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

233times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

6210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,287 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 8, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 May 2023): 8 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.6 by chance€47,598
  • rang362≈ 63 by chance€937
  • rang4604≈ 563 by chance€347
  • rang52,529≈ 2.7k by chance€49.50
  • rang626,116≈ 24k by chance€17.20
  • rang734,456≈ 38k by chance€10.10
  • rang8339,086≈ 339k by chance€4.00
  • rang9427,557€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 34,456 winners, 9% fewer than the 38k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang25€47,598
    rang362€937
    rang4604€347
    rang52,529€49.50
    rang626,116€17.20
    rang734,456€10.10
    rang8339,086€4.00
    rang9427,557€2.20