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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 6 March 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233028
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 24
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 7

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,256 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-03-04All recent draws2023-03-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 18 24 38 41 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 24 38 41 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

5231times
18213times
24234times
38252times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-06

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.4Mto 639k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang12 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang156%€3.0M
  • rang813%€722.8K
  • rang917%€898.0K
  • 6 other tiers14%€757.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang12≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

269times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

7249times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,255 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 18, 38, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2020 — its closest relative in 2,255 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,500,000
  • rang21≈ 1.4 by chance€126,547
  • rang340≈ 34 by chance€772
  • rang4315≈ 308 by chance€354
  • rang51,961≈ 1.5k by chance€33.90
  • rang612,966≈ 13k by chance€18.40
  • rang729,690≈ 21k by chance€6.20
  • rang8185,330≈ 185k by chance€3.90
  • rang9408,200€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 29,690 winners, 44% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang12€1,500,000
    rang21€126,547
    rang340€772
    rang4315€354
    rang51,961€33.90
    rang612,966€18.40
    rang729,690€6.20
    rang8185,330€3.90
    rang9408,200€2.20