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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 20 February 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233022
  1. 16
  2. 22
  3. 35
  4. 41
  5. 43
  6. 7

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,250 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-02-18All recent draws2023-02-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 22 35 41 43 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 22 35 41 43 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

16238times
22260times
35238times
41268times
43

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-20

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 588k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang610%€227.5K
  • rang830%€695.5K
  • rang938%€879.2K
  • 5 other tiers22%€496.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

230times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

7248times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (35, 41, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 January 2022 — its closest relative in 2,249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.1 by chance€120,686
  • rang343≈ 28 by chance€685
  • rang4250≈ 251 by chance€425
  • rang51,718≈ 1.2k by chance€36.90
  • rang610,293≈ 11k by chance€22.10
  • rang724,922≈ 17k by chance€7.10
  • rang8151,204≈ 151k by chance€4.60
  • rang9399,616€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 24,922 winners, 48% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€120,686
    rang343€685
    rang4250€425
    rang51,718€36.90
    rang610,293€22.10
    rang724,922€7.10
    rang8151,204€4.60
    rang9399,616€2.20