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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 February 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233021
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 12
  4. 13
  5. 24
  6. 9

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 40% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,249 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-02-15All recent draws2023-02-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 5 12 13 24 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 12 13 24 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

1237times
5229times
12217times
13257times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-18

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€19.9Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • rang176%€15.0M
  • rang88.8%€1.8M
  • rang96.4%€1.3M
  • 6 other tiers9.2%€1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

9234times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,248 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 13, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 October 2017 — its closest relative in 2,248 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 February 2023): 5, 24 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

55

The numbers add up to 55 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang26≈ 4.1 by chance€50,751
  • rang3191≈ 101 by chance€389
  • rang41,657≈ 910 by chance€162
  • rang55,603≈ 4.3k by chance€28.50
  • rang652,002≈ 39k by chance€11.00
  • rang760,291≈ 61k by chance€7.40
  • rang8547,990≈ 548k by chance€3.20
  • rang9579,061€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,657 winners, 82% more than the 910 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€15,000,000
    rang26€50,751
    rang3191€389
    rang41,657€162
    rang55,603€28.50
    rang652,002€11.00
    rang760,291€7.40
    rang8547,990€3.20
    rang9579,061€2.20