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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 18 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233008
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 35
  4. 39
  5. 48
  6. 8

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,236 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-16All recent draws2023-01-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 11 35 39 48 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 35 39 48 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

7235times
11220times
35233times
39202times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-18

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 640k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€338.5K
  • rang835%€1.0M
  • rang928%€806.8K
  • 5 other tiers25%€737.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

8201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,235 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 35, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 March 2015 — its closest relative in 2,235 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€178,858
  • rang342≈ 42 by chance€1,039
  • rang4309≈ 382 by chance€510
  • rang51,634≈ 1.8k by chance€57.50
  • rang614,528≈ 16k by chance€23.30
  • rang726,329≈ 26k by chance€10.00
  • rang8230,118≈ 230k by chance€4.50
  • rang9366,743€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 14,528 winners, 12% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€178,858
    rang342€1,039
    rang4309€510
    rang51,634€57.50
    rang614,528€23.30
    rang726,329€10.00
    rang8230,118€4.50
    rang9366,743€2.20