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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 16 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233007
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,235 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-14All recent draws2023-01-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 10 19 28 31 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 19 28 31 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

5225times
10221times
19202times
28224times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 585k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang612%€284.7K
  • rang836%€865.2K
  • rang926%€629.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€620.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

235times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

4223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,234 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 28) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,234 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang25≈ 1.9 by chance€30,166
  • rang379≈ 46 by chance€466
  • rang4689≈ 411 by chance€193
  • rang52,348≈ 2.0k by chance€33.70
  • rang622,777≈ 18k by chance€12.50
  • rang725,988≈ 27k by chance€8.50
  • rang8247,207≈ 247k by chance€3.50
  • rang9286,049€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 22,777 winners, 29% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang25€30,166
    rang379€466
    rang4689€193
    rang52,348€33.70
    rang622,777€12.50
    rang725,988€8.50
    rang8247,207€3.50
    rang9286,049€2.20