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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 11 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233005
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 47
  6. 9

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,233 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-09All recent draws2023-01-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 8 16 17 47 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 16 17 47 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

3228times
8205times
16235times
17229times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 778k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang612%€400.1K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang927%€912.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€874.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

219times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

9230times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,232 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 16, 17, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 February 2017 — its closest relative in 2,232 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.3 by chance€105,992
  • rang350≈ 57 by chance€1,035
  • rang4445≈ 509 by chance€419
  • rang52,252≈ 2.4k by chance€49.50
  • rang621,985≈ 22k by chance€18.20
  • rang732,184≈ 34k by chance€9.70
  • rang8306,203≈ 306k by chance€4.00
  • rang9414,698€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 445 winners, 13% fewer than the 509 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang22€105,992
    rang350€1,035
    rang4445€419
    rang52,252€49.50
    rang621,985€18.20
    rang732,184€9.70
    rang8306,203€4.00
    rang9414,698€2.20