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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 9 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233004
  1. 1
  2. 20
  3. 30
  4. 38
  5. 48
  6. 3

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,232 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-07All recent draws2023-01-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 20 30 38 48 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 20 30 38 48 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

1236times
20222times
30216times
38250times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-09

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 658k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€348.2K
  • rang835%€1.1M
  • rang929%€862.5K
  • 5 other tiers25%€757.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

217times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

3219times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,231 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 38, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 November 2022 — its closest relative in 2,231 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.7 by chance€92,141
  • rang328≈ 42 by chance€1,606
  • rang4272≈ 374 by chance€596
  • rang51,652≈ 1.8k by chance€58.60
  • rang613,984≈ 16k by chance€24.90
  • rang725,645≈ 25k by chance€10.50
  • rang8224,868≈ 225k by chance€4.70
  • rang9392,029€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 13,984 winners, 13% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang22€92,141
    rang328€1,606
    rang4272€596
    rang51,652€58.60
    rang613,984€24.90
    rang725,645€10.50
    rang8224,868€4.70
    rang9392,029€2.20