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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 19 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222126
  1. 16
  2. 25
  3. 35
  4. 38
  5. 46
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,197 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-17All recent draws2022-10-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 25 35 38 46 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 25 35 38 46 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

16233times
25204times
35227times
38244times
46

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 593k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang611%€324.0K
  • rang835%€990.2K
  • rang929%€823.6K
  • 4 other tiers25%€705.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

224times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 220 of each

8197times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,196 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 25, 38, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 March 2019 — its closest relative in 2,196 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2022): 16, 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.4 by chance€171,241
  • rang332≈ 34 by chance€6,657
  • rang4272≈ 305 by chance€554
  • rang51,492≈ 1.5k by chance€60.30
  • rang611,955≈ 13k by chance€27.10
  • rang721,704≈ 20k by chance€11.60
  • rang8183,371≈ 183k by chance€5.40
  • rang9374,378€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 11,955 winners, 9% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang20€171,241
    rang332€6,657
    rang4272€554
    rang51,492€60.30
    rang611,955€27.10
    rang721,704€11.60
    rang8183,371€5.40
    rang9374,378€2.20