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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 12 September 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222110
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 49
  6. 10

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 50% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,181 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-09-10All recent draws2022-09-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 7 20 21 49 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 20 21 49 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

4225times
7225times
20216times
21215times
49

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 505k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang613%€304.1K
  • rang839%€934.0K
  • rang921%€506.7K
  • 5 other tiers27%€661.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 218 of each

10214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,180 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 20, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 May 2022 — its closest relative in 2,180 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2022): 49 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€160,855
  • rang341≈ 43 by chance€958
  • rang4453≈ 388 by chance€313
  • rang51,621≈ 1.9k by chance€52.20
  • rang618,658≈ 17k by chance€16.30
  • rang720,100≈ 26k by chance€11.70
  • rang8233,499≈ 233k by chance€4.00
  • rang9230,317€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 20,100 winners, 23% fewer than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€160,855
    rang341€958
    rang4453€313
    rang51,621€52.20
    rang618,658€16.30
    rang720,100€11.70
    rang8233,499€4.00
    rang9230,317€2.20