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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 10 September 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222109
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 49
  6. 5

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,180 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-09-07All recent draws2022-09-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 8 24 25 49 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 24 25 49 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

3222times
8198times
24223times
25202times
49

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 996k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • rang611%€453.5K
  • rang834%€1.4M
  • rang930%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers24%€987.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

224times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 218 of each

5233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,179 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 24, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 December 2019 — its closest relative in 2,179 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 September 2022): 3 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.7 by chance€240,229
  • rang375≈ 66 by chance€782
  • rang4606≈ 597 by chance€349
  • rang53,313≈ 2.9k by chance€38.10
  • rang626,367≈ 26k by chance€17.20
  • rang746,825≈ 40k by chance€7.50
  • rang8359,211≈ 359k by chance€3.90
  • rang9559,477€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 46,825 winners, 17% more than the 40k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€240,229
    rang375€782
    rang4606€349
    rang53,313€38.10
    rang626,367€17.20
    rang746,825€7.50
    rang8359,211€3.90
    rang9559,477€2.20