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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 17 August 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222099
  1. 5
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 29
  6. 3

Jackpot€9,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,170 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-08-15All recent draws2022-08-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 14 16 17 29 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 14 16 17 29 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

5219times
14211times
16229times
17223times
29

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 750k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€359.6K
  • rang835%€1.1M
  • rang928%€860.8K
  • 5 other tiers25%€783.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

233times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

3214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,169 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 16, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 November 2020 — its closest relative in 2,169 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.2 by chance€190,249
  • rang376≈ 55 by chance€611
  • rang4607≈ 493 by chance€276
  • rang52,726≈ 2.4k by chance€36.70
  • rang623,502≈ 21k by chance€15.30
  • rang734,524≈ 33k by chance€8.10
  • rang8296,981≈ 297k by chance€3.70
  • rang9391,253€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,726 winners, 16% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€9,000,000
    rang21€190,249
    rang376€611
    rang4607€276
    rang52,726€36.70
    rang623,502€15.30
    rang734,524€8.10
    rang8296,981€3.70
    rang9391,253€2.20